This figure is expected to grow by 7.1 percent per year over the next five years. By 2030, sales are expected to exceed $81 million – an increase of $27 million.
The supply is not kept up to date. The price of tencha, the raw leaf used for matcha, reached a record 8,235 yen/kg ($82/kg) at an auction in May in Kyoto, up 170 percent from a year earlier, according to the Global Japanese Tea Association.
“Japanese matcha, on the other hand, is sweeter and more delicate, ideal for hot drinks or in combination with dairy milk.”
Matcha’s popularity is rising around the world, an opportunity for Chinese suppliers amid price increases in the Japanese industry. Source: SBS news / Nicole Gong
The cafe said it was the first in the city to offer the alternative, but it is unlikely to be the last.
Kumar said the price of premium Japanese matcha has risen from $390/kg to $500/kg in the past 12 months.
Melbourne matcha cafe owner Umesh Kumar said his profit margins are shrinking as Japanese matcha prices rise. Source: SBS news / Nicole Gong
His cafe uses about 120 kg per month. Although he has kept prices stable, his profit margins are shrinking.
“If the [Japanese matcha] the price goes above $600/kg, which means the price of one cup will be $5.80. It’s not worth running on $9,” he said. “If nothing changes, Australians could soon be paying more than $12 per cup.”
China’s matcha comeback
“In 2023, China may not have been ready yet, but in 2025 things are different: many factories are now receiving strong subsidies to expand their matcha production lines.”
Zihan He travels to various tea regions in China and worldwide to promote Chinese tea. Credit: Delivered
Although Japanese matcha enjoys international prestige, he pointed out that matcha actually originated in China.
Now matcha is experiencing a revival in China, with major production centers in Zhejiang and Guizhou provinces.
What are the main differences between Chinese and Japanese matcha?
Still, he remains optimistic: “China may go slowly from zero to one, but once it learns, it will quickly go from one to a hundred.”
Change is coming, but there is a sticking point
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