The only stock I would hold forever in a TFSA

The only stock I would hold forever in a TFSA

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When you buy one share in a tax-free savings account (TFSA) and hold it, you give the compound room to breathe. The dividend can be reinvested without tax friction. The company can grow through cycles. Your costs remain low because you don’t trade. But the hardest part is picking a Canadian stock that can continue to earn, invest and adapt for decades, and not just for the next headline.

Atrl

Atkins Realis Group (TSX:ATRL) is a global engineering and nuclear services company. It hits the unglamorous parts of the economy that still have to work every day, such as transport networks, energy systems and complex facilities. That kind of work often involves long contracts, repeat customers and a steady demand for expertise. It’s one of the reasons why Canadian stocks are often treated as a “cyclical quality factor” rather than a pure boom-and-bust name.

As far as performance is concerned, the pattern is what matters, not the daily movements. ATRL tends to do well when investors reward cash-generating companies tied to long-term investments, and can cool off when markets get nervous about project risks or economic growth. For a TFSA investor, the question is less about what he did this week and more about whether he has a sustainable moat and whether he can continue to win work without destroying margins.

That’s where the operational story comes into play. In these kinds of cases, the lag is the heartbeat. The growing backlog suggests that clients are entrusting complex work to the company, and it could provide visibility that many tech Canadian stocks simply can’t provide. Investors should also pay attention to the mix of work. Higher value technical and consulting work can support better profitability than standard, low-margin contracts, especially if aggressive fixed-price bidding is avoided.

Considerations

When it comes to earnings, the biggest excitement isn’t usually one standout quarter. What matters is steady progress on margins, clean project delivery and cash flow that matches reported profits. If revenues are increasing but cash is not, this could be a sign of working capital pressure, deferred payments or contract issues. When cash flow is strong and consistent, it gives management the flexibility to invest, pay dividends, buy back shares and still keep the balance sheet healthy.

Appreciation is where the debate begins. When a Canadian stock performs, the market often assumes the good times will continue. When the price delivers steady margin gains and smooth project delivery, any hiccup can sting. That doesn’t make it a bad stock. It just changes what “good” looks like in the future. For a long-term investor, paying a fair price for a consistently growing company can still yield profits, but there is less room for disappointment.

If you want a buy-and-hold-forever candidate, you’re really buying into the sustainability of demand. Infrastructure renewal is not optional, and neither is the technical talent behind it. Canadian stocks are also exposed to long-term themes such as grid investments, transportation modernization, nuclear lifespan extension and new construction. These trends can last for decades. A deep pipeline can also create a flywheel, because delivery builds trust and trust builds the next contract.

Silly takeaway

For TFSA investors currently considering ATRL, the checklist is simple but strict. Look for continued backlog growth, stable or improving margins, and cash flow that matches profits over time. Keep an eye on net debt and interest costs, as leverage can limit flexibility if the cycle turns. Be honest about the valuation and your own time horizon. If you can get through a few ugly quarters without panicking, this kind of fixed compounding can be a smart way to pursue retirement wealth for decades within your TFSA.

#stock #hold #TFSA

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