Manchester United looked to be ahead before facing Everton, but a disappointing defeat put the pressure back on Ruben Amorim.
The Red Devils were unbeaten in five games before Monday, their longest run under Amorim, but a Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall strike secured a 1-0 victory for 10-man Everton at Old Trafford.
And United’s hopes of turning things around quickly and returning to victory won’t be helped by a visit to Crystal Palace next.
Palace is unbeaten on three points in the competition, but comes into action in this match after a 2-1 defeat against Strasbourg in the Conference League.
However, Palace are a force to be reckoned with at Selhurst Park, with their unbeaten run on home soil dating back to February, with Everton the latest team to take points from Oliver Glasner’s team in front of their home fans.
They have also acted as a bogey team for United in recent seasons, making it more difficult for Amorim’s side to bounce back.
But who expects the supercomputer to triumph on Sunday? Here we use data from Opta to look at the most important topics of conversation.
What is expected?
Given Palace’s strong form at home and United’s problems in the Premier League in recent months, it is no surprise that the supercomputer is backing the Eagles for a win.
It also helps that they have had United’s number in recent encounters, winning three of their last four league games against the Red Devils (D1).
That’s as many wins as they had achieved in their previous 30 encounters (W3 D6 L21).
@AnthonyMartial in Selhurst Park pic.twitter.com/RgowP9IU7d
—Manchester United (@ManUtd) November 27, 2025
And after being winless in thirteen home games against United between 1991 and 2021 (D4 L9), Palace have now won two of their last four games against them (D2).
During Palace’s four-match unbeaten run against them, United failed to score. Only against Blackburn Rovers (1920-1922) and Everton (1971-1973) did they never manage to score in five consecutive league games.
Palace came out on top in 54.1% of the supercomputer’s 10,000 pre-match simulations, with a further 23.6% chance of a draw and extending their recent unbeaten run.
United, meanwhile, are given just a 22.3% chance of winning again as they have not tasted victory in their last three games.
Fort Selhurst
Despite a shaky situation that saw Palace win just one of five Premier League games before last Saturday’s victory over Wolves, Glasner’s side are still top of the table.
Heading into the weekend’s matches, they sit fifth and have lost just twice this season, with only league leaders Arsenal suffering fewer defeats (one).
Palace have lost just two of their last eighteen league games (W7 D9) and have kept three consecutive clean sheets in the league for the first time since October 2023.
They have collected 20 points from 12 games this season (W5 D5 L2), their best start to a league season since 2012-13 in the Championship (21), and best in the top flight since 1991-92 (20).
Their good start to the season has been driven by their home form: they are unbeaten in their last twelve Premier League home games (W6 D6), their longest ever run in the Premier League.
Only once before have they had a longer run without defeat at Selhurst Park in their top-flight history (17 between February and December 1990).
Despite that impressive run, Glasner will be keen to further improve that record as only two of their six home games so far in the 2025/26 season have ended in a win, with the other four drawn and failing to score in two of them.
Another pillar of their success was a solid defensive foundation. Again, only Arsenal can boast a better record than them.
The Gunners (six) are the only team to have conceded fewer goals than Palace (nine) in the Premier League this season. It is the fewest goals they have conceded after the first twelve games of a league campaign since 1981-82 (also nine).
They conceded 14.5 expected goals (xGA) from the 128 shots they faced, although only 36 of those were on target. Palace also kept six clean sheets, with only Arsenal (seven) recording more shutouts.
Dean Henderson has experienced 34 of these goal attempts and has prevented 4.4 goals for Palace this season, according to Opta’s expected goals on target (xGoT) model.
Amorim’s London calling?
United’s loss to Everton saw them lose a Premier League match at Old Trafford after seeing the opposition pick up a red card for the first time ever, winning 36 and drawing 10 from the previous 46.
And boos greeted the full-time whistle as United’s five-match unbeaten run came to an end, as did their run of four consecutive wins at home.
Amorim’s side finished that match with 25 shots (six on target) as they failed to find a way past an inspired Jordan Pickford and stoic Everton defense, conceding after the only effort on target they faced at the other end.
In fact, the Red Devils’ Premier League games this season have produced a higher number of expected goals (xG) than any other side (37.1 – F20.1 A17). However, of their 20.1 xG, United scored just 19 times – two of which were own goals.
Only Liverpool (184) have attempted more attempts than United’s 183 this season. Of these, 62 hit the target; Chelsea (67) are the only team to have done this more often, although the Blues have scored four more goals.
United’s conversion rate of 10.4% is the seventh worst in the league, highlighting a known problem they have faced under Amorim since he took charge last November.
Another concern for the Portuguese head coach will be United’s faltering away form as they have won just one of their last 11 away games in the competition (D4 L6), beating Liverpool 2-1 last month.
Half of United’s away wins under Amorim (2/4) have come at the home of the reigning Premier League champions (who also beat Manchester City 2-1 in December 2024).
United have won just three of their last 26 top-flight away games against sides from London (D7 L16), with all three wins coming against Fulham. Since the start of this series in April 2023, no team has lost more away games in the capital than the Red Devils (16).
However, in their last two away games, United scored the opening goal, fell behind and then avoided defeat, earning a 2–2 draw against Tottenham and Nottingham Forest respectively.
PLAYERS TO WATCH
Crystal Palace – Daniel Munoz
No defender has more goals in the Premier League this season than Daniel Munoz (two goals, two assists).
Both of his assists came at Selhurst Park, although both of his goals came away from home.
And Munoz has been involved in 10 Premier League goals (four goals, six assists) in 2025 – four more than any other defender.
Manchester United – Bruno Fernandes
Bruno Fernandes has created more chances than any other player in the Premier League this season (31). Manchester City flyer Jeremy Doku is in second place with 27.
However, only three of these chances qualified as a big chance, which is defined by Opta as an opportunity from which a player could reasonably be expected to score.
Fernandes is also one of only two players (along with Phil Foden) to create more than 10 chances from both open play (20) and set plays (11).
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