Stage 2: Carlos Alcaraz -8.5 games (-150)
Matchup: C. Alcaraz vs. Y. Hanfmann
Time: January 20, 10:00 PM (ET)
Following Djokovic, we look at another giant of the men’s game. Carlos Alcaraz takes on Yannick Hanfmann with an identical spread of -8.5 games. Just like the first stage of today’s parodythe market has not correctly priced in the difference in class, creating one of the strongest tennis bets on the market.
We expect Alcaraz to cover this spread 72.3% of the time, resulting in a double-digit lead of 12.3%.
The reasoning: Hanfmann plays a tough game, but Alcaraz’s speed and defense on these courts will force him into mistakes. We’re backing the Spaniard to cruise to a straight-sets victory, making this a confident addition to your parry today.
Leg 3: Priscilla Hon +5.5 games (-108)
Matchup: I. Jovic vs. P. Hon
Time: January 21, 4:40 AM (ET)
For the third parry In the second leg we focus on the women’s draw for significant underdog value. The Australian Priscilla Hon takes on the young American Iva Jovic. Although Jovic is the favourite, the 5.5 match buffer for Hon is simply too big given her experience and home advantage.
Our simulation gives Hon a 63.6% chance of staying this close (or winning), offering a robust 11.7% advantage at odds of -108.
The reasoning: Finding a double-digit edge on an underdog spread bet is rare. We don’t need Hon to win the match for this leg of the tennis parlay to hit; we just need competitive performance. The data shows that Australians remain within this number.
Stage 4: Frances Tiafoe -4.5 games (-110)
Matchup: F. Tiafoe vs. F. Comesanana
Time: January 21, 4:10 AM (ET)
We close the best parallel for day 4 with Frances Tiafoe. Facing Francisco Comesana, Tiafoe has to cover a modest spread of 4.5 games. On hard courts, Tiafoe’s dynamic athleticism gives him a clear advantage over the Argentine clay player.
Our model sees Tiafoe cover this line 62.2% of the time, creating a 9.9% lead.
The reasoning: Comesana will struggle with the pace of play that Tiafoe dictates. A spread of 4.5 games can be covered in a tight three-setter or a comfortable four-setter. With an edge of almost 10%, this is one of the smartest tennis bets available to close the ticket.
Australian Open 2026 Parlay Today – Day 4
Leg 1: Djokovic -8.5 (-140)
Leg 2: Alcaráz -8.5 (-150)
Leg 3: Hon +5.5 (-108)
Leg 4: Tiafoe -4.5 (-110)
Parlay Odds: +953
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