Oddsmakers don’t like injuries, which bring a lot of unknowns.
They prefer every team at full strength because the abilities are responsible for that. But they don’t know the true power of a short-handed team due to the small sample size of those scenarios.
The downside is that gamblers can take advantage of these odds if they understand the knock-on effect of injury better than those who create the odds.
The Phoenix Suns visit the Los Angeles Lakers on Monday evening as 10-point underdogs, with a total of 233.5 points.
Grayson Allen returned to the lineup in Phoenix’s final game after missing seven straight games due to a right side contusion.
His return brought Collin Gillespie back to the bench.
Gillespie shined as Allen’s replacement, logging at least 28 minutes in all seven games and scoring at least 15 points.
He also made at least three three-pointers in six of them.
Upon his return to the reserve role, Gillespie’s minutes decreased only slightly.
Bet on the NBA?
He is still an offensive priority and leads the NBA in three-pointers made off the bench.
So I still think there is value in that regard, especially if the market assumes lower usage.
I have a record of 79-67-2 in this post sports section and my next game is Gillespie Over 2.5 with 3-pointers, which at the time of writing has plus-money odds in two books.
The Pick: Collin Gillespie Over 2.5 made 3-pointers (+110, bet365)
Why trust New York Post betting
Doug Kezirian is a contributor to the New York Post and has more than twenty years of experience in the gambling industry, including eleven years at ESPN as a host, columnist and betting analyst. He is also the rare personality who has documented success: a 14th-place finish in the 2023 Circa Million and the Las Vegas SuperContest ($37,000), two top-10 finishes in the 2022 William Hill College Football Challenge ($58,000) and also made headlines with a $297,000 win at the 2021 NFL Draft.
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