The Tampa Bay Rays 2026 draft is starting to take shape with the announcement of the Competitive Balance picks (below) and the upcoming draft lottery set to take place on December 9.
Here’s where the Rays odds stand today, per mlb.com:
White Sox (.370) — 27.73%
Gemini (.432) — 22.18%
Pirates (.438) — 16.81%
Orioles (.463) — 9.24%
A’s (.469) — 6.55%
Braves (.469) — 4.54%
Rays (.475) — 3.03%
Cardinals (.481) — 2.35%
Marlins (.488) — 1.85%
D-backs (.494) — 1.51%
Rangers (.500) — 1.34%
Giants (.500) — 1.01%
Royal amounts (.506) — 0.84%
Mets (.512) — 0.67%
Astros (.537) — 0.34%
Rockies (.265) – ineligible
Nationals (.407) – not eligible
Angels (.444) — not eligible
The Rockies are ineligible to participate in the draft lottery due to their participation in each of the past two seasons, while the Nationals and Angels cannot participate in consecutive years while also being “payers” in the MLB revenue sharing mechanism.
Following these picks is the reverse order of win percentage for both the end of the first round, followed by a litany of other picks that can be awarded or lost through various offseason events, heading into Competitive Balance Round A, and then the reverse order of win percentage again for Round 2, followed by Comp Round B. This year the Rays were given a pick near the end of Round B.
Note: Competitive Balance picks are the only draft selections that are tradable assets, something the Rays were doing just before the 2025 draft, when the team traded the 37th pick of the 2025 MLB draft to the Baltimore Orioles for right-handed reliever Bryan Baker, a polarizing decision in baseball front office circles given the timing. The Rays had previously acquired another Comp selection later in the 2025 draft.
The MLB Draft Lottery will be held on December 9 during the Winter Meetings.
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