President Putin, as American military aid in Ukraine stalls, is the peace initiative of President Trump slowly. The Russian president apparently believes that he can win his war against Ukraine.
“Now we have reason to believe that we are ready to finish them,” Mr. Putin said Van de Ukrainians during a recent visit to a nuclear submarine base in the Arctic. “I think people in Ukraine should realize what’s going on.”
A month ago, Ukraine accepted Mr. Trump’s offer of a 30-day ceasefire. Mr Putin’s reaction, on the other hand, was more conversations, and then the Palm Sunday Bombing of Sumy, a Ukrainian border city. In that attack, the deadliest attack by Russia this year, two rockets killed 35 people and apparently injured 119 – all citizens. The hope for an eastern ceases -the Fire has long since disappeared.
Politics and the figures do not point this year to a Russian breakthrough. While the White House is wobbly about Russia, a hard government will be in power in Germany next month, the historical counterweight of Russia in Europe.
Mr. Trump called the Rocket attack on Sumy ‘a mistake’ and blocked a conviction by the group of seven allies. The suspected German Chancellor, Friedrich Merz,, on the other hand, called it ‘clearly a war crime’. He said, “This is what Putin does with those who talk to him about a ceasefiring.”
On May 9, the day after he took office, Mr. Merz is planning to make his first foreign trip – to Kyiv, report Welt -tv. Break with German policy, Mr. Merz said that the public broadcaster Ard He is planning to give German-Swedish cruise rockets from Taurus to Ukraine. Note that they have the reach to hit the Kerch Bridge of De Krim, a pets project by Mr Putin, said the future German Chancellor of Germany that Ukraine must “move forward” in the war.
“US AID has gotten stuck since Donald Trump took on the office,” the Ukraine Support Tracker unit at Kiel Institute in Germany reported yesterday. “No new military, financial or humanitarian aid is being observed since the United States have announced its last aid package – still under the Biden administration, on January 9.”
“The era of American military aid to Ukraine is approaching its end” written Monday in The Guardian. “Putin is waiting for his time, enthusiastic to see if the Ukrainian army will pop in the absence of American military aid.”
With Ukrainian soldiers largely in a defensive squat, Russia suffers the highest staff losses of the 3-year war-as a average of 1.374 soldiers who have been killed or seriously injured every day since 1 January, according to a daily count maintained by the army of Ukraine. If this rate holds, Russia could lose half a million men this year. This is after Russia lost 430,000 soldiers last year, the bloodiest year of the war.
The toll of Russia is on schedule to hit 1 million by 1 June. The Kremlin has little to show for the losses. It was not beaten by Ukrainian lines. It has not taken and kept regional capitals. Desperate to soldiers, Russia has resorted to recruit Chinese soldiers of Fortuin through advertisements on Tiktok.
On Monday, the Russian news agency Tass Tass announced that, after eight months of fighting, Russian troops “more than 86 percent” from the Russian Kursk region liberated. Ukrainian troops occupied part of that region last August. Liberation only came with the help of an expedition force of 14,000 men from North Korea. Subsequently, some Ukrainian troops did a U-turn and Russia re-applied, with part of the Belgorod region.
The human losses of Russia are accompanied by such large Matériel losses that Western observers talk about the “de-mechanization” of the Russian army. Videos that are placed online, show attacks performed by Russian soldiers on motorcycles, in Chinese golf carts or in stolen Ukrainian cars.
“It’s quite the beast,” says a Russian soldier proudly in one video, with his battered pink motorcycle, probably stolen from a Ukrainian woman.
In three years of war, Russia 22.150 has lost armored staff holders and 44,399 jeeps and trucks, according to the army of Ukraine. Note that Russia now plays 70-year-old GAZ-69 Jeeps, David Axe, David Axe written Last week in Forbes: “What was once one of the world’s large mechanized armies was mechanized at a rapid pace.” Although Russian ammunition factories run on full tilt, an investigation into Reuters reported Yesterday, Noord -Korea supplied at least half of the artillery shells that were fired by Russia last year.
Artillery is increasingly yesterday’s story. Drones now cause around 70 percent of the deaths by battlefield and injuries in Russian and Ukrainian soldiers. A world leader in military drones, Ukraine now has 200 drone factories. Almost completely independent of American inputs, this indigenous industry is expected to produce 4 million drones this year.
In a typical attack of the new style of warfare, Ukraine sent nearly 200 long -distance drones to Russia last Wednesday evening. In an attack of 10 hours, drones found 12 Russian regions, disrupted commercial aviation and reached three military air bases. In Ukraine, Russia has little to show because of its human and material losses.
“The number of Russian progress in Ukraine has fallen steadily since November 2024, partly due to successful Ukrainian counterattacks in Eastern Ukraine” reported April 6. The British Ministry of Defense reports that the profit of Russia in Ukraine has fallen every month since November. In March they amounted to 55 square miles, against 270 square miles in November.
Nowadays Russia controls 19 percent of Ukraine, or 43,785 square miles. At a speed of 55 miles a month it would take 287 years for Russia to conquer Ukraine, a nation that is slightly larger than France.
Mr. Putin can believe that he can reach a breakthrough, but his economy does not support him. To offer Russians weapons and butter for the past three years, Mr Putin has burned half of the liquid part of the Russian sovereign power fund.
By the end of this year, the majority of this financial pillow can be used up. The international economic unrest tightens the Squeeze and has pressed the price of the Russian Oeral oil to $ 50 per barrel. This year’s national budget is calculated for a prize of $ 70. American observers are increasingly saying that the right step for Mr. Trump is the bluff of Mr. Name Putin – and play hard.
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