A Saturday special in Week 16 of the NFL season is an NFC North showdown between the Green Bay Packers and Chicago Bears. As with Thursday night’s thriller between Los Angeles and Seattle, the stakes could hardly be higher. Whoever wins will have sole possession of first place in the division and will also remain in the mix for the top seed in the conference.
Let’s take a look at my Packers vs. Bears Predictions.
Green Bay Packers vs. Chicago Bears Odds
Moneyline: Packers +105 / Bears -125
Spread: packers +1.5 (-108) / bears -1.5 (-112)
Total: More than 46.5 (-110) / Less than 46.5 (-110)
Green Bay Packers vs. Chicago Bears Best Bet No. 1: Bears -1.5 (-112)
These two division foes faced off two weeks ago on the Frozen Tundra, where the Packers prevailed in front of a home crowd in a game that couldn’t have been more competitive. It was a one-possession game and the visiting Bears fell just a few yards short of forcing overtime. Fast forward 13 days and head coach Ben Johnson’s team is in better shape for success – and not just because it’s playing at home. The Bears are coming off a 31-3 loss to a Browns team that has shown recent signs of being a competitive football team. Caleb Williams continues to play the best ball of his young career and should have plenty of confidence on Saturday after throwing for 242 yards with two TDs and no INTs against Cleveland.
Meanwhile, Green Bay will be without star defenseman Micah Parsons for the rest of the season due to a torn ACL. On the other side of the ball, wide receiver Christian Watson (chest/shoulder) is questionable. Watson may be playing, but he may not be 100 percent. Look for Chicago to avenge the Week 14 loss.
Green Bay Packers vs. Chicago Bears best player prop bet: DJ Moore Over 43.5 receiving yards (-114)
Moore had negative-4 receiving yards in the first head-to-head game. Yes, negative-4. Expect this to be the calm before the storm. In fact, Moore already raised his game significantly since that performance, catching four of five targets for 69 yards and two scores against Cleveland. The former Maryland standout has produced four of his five touchdown catches in the past four games this year.
The momentum should continue against the Packers, whose pass rush has clearly been significantly depleted in Parsons’ absence. That will give Williams more time to operate, and the second-year QB should find Moore early, often considering two of his other favorite weapons are missing (Rome Odunze and Luther Burden III are sidelined with injuries). Green Bay is also fantastic at defending its tight ends, meaning the output for Colston Loveland and Cole Kmet (questionable with knee and ankle issues) could be limited. It should also be noted that while Moore didn’t do anything against the Packers two weeks ago, he caught 16 of 17 targets for 148 yards and one touchdown against them in the two 2024 meetings.
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