How will Newcastle United end up in the Champions League this 2025/26 season?
Three matches have already been played.
The 2-1 defeat to Barcelona at St James’ Park.
Followed by the 4-0 away win against Union SG.
Then back at St James’ Park last night, an excellent 3-0 win over Benfica.
Five league games to go, then Bilbao at home in two weeks.
Each of the 36 clubs plays four matches away and four at home.
Opta have now made their updated Champions League 2025-26 forecasts for Newcastle United and the other 35 clubs, following Tuesday night’s matches.
These are the updated predictions via to elect – October 22, 2025:
So the updated Opta predictions for Newcastle United:
Predicted number of points after the eight competition matches: 14.04 points out of a possible 24.
Percentage chance of finishing top of the league after the eight games – a 0.94% chance of doing so.
Percentage chance of finishing in the play-offs – A 60.09% chance of finishing between 9th and 24th.
Percentage chance of reaching the quarter-finals – A 40.94% chance of reaching the last eight.
Percentage chance of reaching the semi-finals – An 18.55% chance of reaching the last four.
Percentage chance of reaching the final – A 7.97% chance of reaching the final two.
Percentage chance of winning the Champions League – A 3.50% chance of winning it all! (Opta rates Newcastle United as the tenth most likely winners…)
Newcastle 3 Benfica 0 – Tuesday October 21, 2025 8:00 PM
(Statistics via BBC Sports)
Goals:
Newcastle United:
Gordon 32, Barnes 70.83
Benfica:
Possess was Newcastle 52% Benfica 48%
Total shots were Newcastle 19 Benfica 7
Shots on target were Newcastle 10 Benfica 2
Corners were Newcastle 12 Benfica 8
Touches in the box Newcastle 38 Benfica 12
Pope, Trippier, Thiaw, Botman, Burn, Bruno (Willock 90), Ramsey (Joelinton 63), Miley, Gordon (Elanga 85), Woltemade (Osula 85), Jacob Murphy (Barnes 63)
Unused subs:
Thompson, Ramsdale, Schar, Tonali, Krafth, Alex Murphy
(Newcastle 3 Benfica 0 – Match ratings and commentaries on all Newcastle United players – Read HERE)
(Newcastle 3 Benfica 0 – Instant Newcastle United fan/writer reaction – Read HERE)
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