NFL Playoff -Photo prior to week 6

• The Washington commanders need a week 6 -victory: According to Pff simulations, the commanders have a 63% chance of making the play -offs with a week 6 win, but that number falls to 34% with loss.

• Depners on for picking up: The New York Jets currently have a 20% chance of landing the overall pick at number 1.

The current situation

Current AFC Playoff -classification

1. Buffalo Bills (4-1)
2. Jacksonville Jaguars (4-1)
3. Pittsburgh Steelers (3-1)
4. Los Angeles Chargers (3-2)
5. Indianapolis Colts (4-1)
6. Denver Broncos (3-2)
7. New England Patriots (3-2)

Current NFC Playoff -classification

1. San Francisco 49ers (4-1)
2. Philadelphia Eagles (4-1)
3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-1)
4. Detroit Lions (4-1)
5. Green Bay Packers (2-1-1)
6. Seattle Seahawks (3-2)
7. Minnesota Vikings (3-2)

The projections

It is of course unlikely that the play -off photo will remain constant in the rest of the season. And that is why it makes sense to go to the projected Playoff Picture – The estimated opportunities that PFF gives each team to make the play -offs.

The following graphs show the projected play -off opportunities for each team, together with the play -off leverage, ie how the play -off opportunities would change with a victory or loss.

The logos show the current Play -off opportunities. The points to the right of the logos indicate the opportunities after a victory, and the points to the left indicate the opportunities after loss.