Is Robert Kiyosaki right over a larger depression? – Sparkrental

2. Inflation and recession risk

According to the Walters Kluwer Blue Chip Economic Indicator SurveyEconomists see one 72% chance of meaningful inflation return within the next 6 months and a 47% chance of recession In the next 12.

In other words: Stagflation Slow growth plus high inflation is on the table again.

3. The misery index

This less well -known economic indicator adds inflation to the unemployment rate. A higher number is equal to more ‘misery’.

Economists predict that the misery index will peak 8.1% in Q3 2025Before falling somewhat to 6.9% by the end of 2026.

To compare:

• During the Great depressionUnemployment alone was over 25%.
• During the Stagflation from the 70sThe misery index almost reached 20%.

So yes, things are shaky but nowhere close Greater depression Levels.

So what about gold, silver and bitcoin?

Kiyosaki’s bullishness about precious metals and crypto Is not a secret. But do you have to follow his leadership?

Gold and silver

Noble metals have long been considered a Hedge against geopolitics risk and inflation. In an unusual way, Both gold and the stock market are high almost all timeWhich usually doesn’t happen together.

But most CFPs we spoke to have agreed:

“Gold and silver are useful hedges, but they are not rich speed assets.”

They do not produce income, such as a company or real estate investment would. Their value is speculative based on market perception, not underlying cash flow.

Bitcoin

Kiyosaki claims that Bitcoin will reach $ 1 million By 2035. That is quite a leap, even for crypto bulls.

And although Bitcoin has shown enormous growth since its foundation, it has also been proven wildly volatile. As an investor shared:

“I have some crypto, but it’s play money. I expect to lose it completely or to win a lot. It is speculation, not an investment.”

Bitcoin, such as gold, Does not generate any income. It is just worthwhile what someone else is willing to pay for it. That makes it a risky place to store your life savings, especially during uncertain economic times.

Why real estate and shares still matter

While Kiyosaki trivializes more traditional investments, CFPs and economists agree: Real estate and shares remain solid long -term vehicles for building wealth.

Why?

• They generate income. Rental homes produce monthly cash flow. Companies generate income.
• They can be objectively appreciated. In contrast to speculative assets, real estate and shares can be priced on the basis of income and market fundamentals.
• Moreover, they offer diversification. Real estate offers a counterbalance for shares, especially in times of volatility.

And remember Panic Sells creates opportunities For smart buyers. Those who keep them cool often create assets with a discount when others flee the market.