Analysts say Bitcoin’s upside no longer justifies the risk as BTC is now trading around 30x above its last cycle low.
A prominent crypto analyst known for his long-standing Bitcoin optimism has made a stark recommendation: reduce exposure to BTC in favor of select altcoins.
In a detailed social media post, CrediBULL Crypto argued that with BTC approaching $90,000, the potential returns no longer justify the risk compared to fundamentally sound alternatives trading at deep discounts.
Bitcoin still leads, but Alts offer better benefits
CrediBULL opened the analysis by highlighting their history of bullish Bitcoin calls, from as low as $3,000 in 2017 to $15,000 and $30,000 in later cycles. With the OG cryptocurrency now hovering around $90,000, the analyst says argued that the math has changed for investors who plan to take profits before the cycle ends.
They argued that while Bitcoin typically leads the market out of a bear phase, the most explosive altcoin rallies historically occur later in the cycle, often after Bitcoin has peaked. With the number one cryptocurrency now trading at 30 times its low in the last cycle, CrediBULL believes the ‘risk versus reward’ profile for new Bitcoin investments has diminished significantly.
“After finally hitting the 100k+ mark, and despite my belief that we still have more to go for Bitcoin in this cycle, the reality is that R/R and expected ROI from current levels do not make a case for buying $BTC over alts at these levels,” they wrote on X.
Using XRP as a primary example, the analyst highlighted that the Ripple token underperformed Bitcoin for over 460 days before exploding in mid-2025 with a 7x gain in just 23 days. This move, CrediBULL argued, erased any previous underperformance and resulted in greater returns for XRP holders than for those who bought BTC above $25,000 during the same period.
The lesson, according to the post, is that high-quality altcoins can remain inactive for extended periods before making their big moves in a fraction of the time, rewarding patient accumulation.
“The real opportunity right now lies in high-quality, fundamentally sound and structurally sound alts,” CrediBULL summarized.
Market Context: Bitcoin remains stuck near $90,000 as pressure mounts
Bitcoin’s price action helps explain why this argument is gaining traction. At the time of writing, it was trading around $87,000, down about 1% in the past 24 hours and about 6% in the past two weeks, after repeated failures to stay above $90,000.
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Major altcoins including Ethereum (ETH) followed Bitcoin lower in a widespread pullback, with data showing the recent pullback was accompanied by around $250 million in liquidations, most of which were tied to long positions.
Options markets also determine short-term behavior. On-chain engineer Wise Crypto said on X that Bitcoin has been civil between $85,000 and $90,000 through a large options structure, with hedging activity muting volatility until a major expiration later this week.
Meanwhile, XRP was trading around $1.85, down nearly 50% from its July peak of $3.65 and weaker over weekly and monthly periods. While sentiment around the currency has turned negative, analysts have noted that similar pessimism has often preceded sharp rebounds in the past.
All told, Bitcoin’s stalled momentum and growing focus on relative value are keeping the rotation story alive, even as traders wait for clearer direction at year’s end.
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