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Week 16 Fantasy Football Usage Report
Colby Parkinson is letting us down
Colby Parkinson has had an inspiring season, especially lately. The Rams have transitioned to a heavy tight end personnel offense this year, which has allowed Parkinson to play a bigger role, especially since Tyler Higbee has been out with an injury. But Thursday night, when everyone was counting on him after Davante Adams was ruled out, Parkinson struggled. He played the most snaps of any Rams skill player and ran 70.6% of routes (tied for second on the team), but turned that into a target share of just 10.2% and 4.1 PPR points. Over his previous six games, Parkinson had a 14.3% target share and averaged 13.5 PPR PPG.
This week reminded us that Colby Parkinson is a mid-level tight end backed by a great offense and quarterback. Players like Parkinson can get streaks when the stars align, but it’s always risky to expect it to stay that way. With Terrance Ferguson on the horizon, I don’t expect to have any interest in Parkinson next season.
Vintage performances by AJ Brown
At the start of the season, it looked like AJ Brown could end up as one of the worst fantasy picks of the season. Both he and the Eagles offense looked like shells of their former selves. However, Brown has been on a roll over the past five weeks.
During that time, Brown has a 30.4% target share and is averaging 21.4 PPR PPG. In his first eight games, Brown averaged just 11.2 PPR PPG with four games under 8.0 points. It helps that the Eagles faced some of the worst defenses in the league during his run, and the Eagles’ offense looked better overall.
Whatever caused Brown’s problems to start the season is clearly gone. Brown’s strong finish to the season should inspire confidence in him for 2026.
The revival of DJ Moore
It’s been an up and down season for DJ Moore, with more downs than ups. The Bears’ youth movement has often had him looking from the outside in to the offensive game plan. But over the past two weeks, as the Bears dealt with injuries to their wide receiver corps, Moore has stepped up.
In that time, Moore has played 91.6% of snaps, run 97.1% of routes, seen a 21.1% target share and averaged 22.4 PPR PPG. Rome Odunze and Luther Burden III could both come out again in Week 17, so it shouldn’t be a surprise if Moore is productive again in the fantasy football finals.
Moore is under contract with the Bears through 2029, but we have to wonder if the Bears will have him back in 2026 to showcase their young players. It will be interesting to see where his ADP ends up.
What happened to Jaxson Dart?
In what probably has to be the most surprising statistical line of the weekend, Jaxson Dart attempted just 13 passes, completing seven of them for 33 yards, zero touchdowns and one interception. He also only ran for seven yards twice. He was also sacked five times and finished with just .02 fantasy points that day.
This is a strange one. The Giants only ran 43 plays total. As far as we know, Dart wasn’t injured. The Vikings have a good defense that can harass quarterbacks, but that doesn’t explain this statistic. When I think about how Jaxson Dart has performed so far this year, I consider this an outlier and nothing more. Things like this can happen occasionally, with the execution being almost inexplicable. We know Dart can play and is a producer for fantasy football. I won’t let this change my opinion of him.
Quinn Ewers gets a chance
The Dolphins and Tua Tagovailoa’s marriage is likely over, and he was drafted in favor of Quinn Ewers entering Week 16. In Ewers’ first start, against a horrible Bengals defense, he showed why he wasn’t a highly regarded prospect.
Ewers completed 20 of his 30 passes for 261 passing yards, mostly in garbage time, but threw two interceptions and zero touchdowns. He finished the day with 8.4 fantasy points. The good news is that the Dolphins’ weapons were mostly fine. De’Von Achane had 18 PPR points and Jaylen Wright, Jaylen Waddle and Malik Washington all had 10+ PPR points.
Quinn Ewers didn’t play well, but he didn’t do much worse than what Tua Tagovailoa did. You can still trust Achane in week 17; You probably didn’t trust anyone else at this point anyway. This will also likely mark the end of Ewers’ relevance as the Dolphins will look for a new quarterback in 2026.
Quinshon Judkins sustains serious injuries
One of the lone bright spots for the Browns was second-round rookie Quinshon Judkins. Judkins has found routine success despite playing behind a terrible offensive line and poor quarterback play. Before Week 16, Judkins was averaging 12.3 PPR PPG while ranking 49th in run-blocking rating due to the offensive line. Unfortunately, Judkins suffered a serious injury on Sunday. According to initial reports, he has broken his fibula and dislocated his ankle, which will require a recovery time of four to five months.
We should see Quinshon Judkins in 2026. However, we cannot expect much. Like Judkins, the Browns will have Dylan Sampson, whoever they add this offseason, and we’ll see if Raheim Sanders stays. I’ll wait for news of his recovery this offseason before I have any interest in him.
Justin Jefferson’s frustrating year
No player has been more frustrating for fantasy football in 2025 than Justin Jefferson. Week after week he has been actively bad for our fantasy teams, but it’s so hard to leave him. He has been widely considered the best wide receiver in football for years. He has transcended every situation. Not this year. Over the last six weeks leading up to Week 16, Jefferson had averaged just 6.2 PPR PPG while still earning a 27.5% target share.
This week, even with JJ McCarthy leaving midway through the game, Jefferson got back on track. Jefferson scored 14.5 PPR points and caught six of eight targets for 85 yards with a 36.4% target share. It’s not much, but it’s great to see Justin Jefferson having a serviceable week. If the Vikings weren’t in control of the game, it could have been even better. You still can’t expect a normal Jefferson performance in Week 17, but you can play him as a WR2. We need to see what the Vikings do at quarterback before we can truly predict Jefferson for 2026.
Marvin Harrison Jr. returns (again)
The saga of Marvin Harrison Jr. and Michael Wilson returned in week 16 and got a new chapter. Harrison Jr. played 50.8% of snaps, ran 60.6% of routes, had an 11.1% target share and scored just 2.4 PPR points. We were told before the game that the Cardinals planned to ease him back in slowly, and that was true. It’s a bit of a lost season for Harrison Jr. as he dealt with injuries and poor quarterback play early in the season.
The hope was that Marvin Harrison Jr. could improve in his second season and perform as expected based on his prospect profile. That did not go as planned, but that will be the hope again in 2026. The Cardinals are another team trying to figure out what their plan is at quarterback. Maybe they’ll keep Jacoby Brissett around, but the expectation is that Kyler Murray won’t be around anymore.
Courtland Sutton reigns supreme
For a while midway through the season, it seemed like times were changing for Courtland Sutton in the Broncos’ pecking order. Sutton’s role diminished and Troy Franklin followed him, potentially marking a change.
But since the Broncos’ Week 12 bye, Sutton is back in the driver’s seat. In that time, Sutton has a 21.8% target share while running 88.3% of routes and playing 81.7% of snaps on his way to 18.6 PPR PPG. During those four weeks, Sutton has scored at least ten goals three times, also scored three times and had at least sixty receiving yards each game.
You can have faith in Courtland Sutton as WR2 in Week 17. Looking ahead to 2026, Sutton is still under contract with the Broncos, and they won’t be overly motivated to add to the room. Troy Franklin, Marvin Mims and Pat Bryant have all proven to be quality players. Sutton will be 31, but he could easily have another productive season.
Winner of the Kenneth Gainwell League
Going into the season, no one on earth expected Kenneth Gainwell to be relevant to fantasy football in 2026, let alone be the league winner at the end of the season, but he is. Over the past six weeks, Gainwell is averaging 14.3 PPR PPG while playing 52.4% of the snaps. He manages 45.8% of the Steelers’ backfield opportunities and has an 18.4% target share. He has the trust of Aaron Rodgers and has become an RB2 for our fantasy teams week in and week out.
You almost have to play Kenneth Gainwell in Week 17. If you can bench him, your team is stacked. Gainwell is not under contract until 2026. The Steelers will be an interesting follow-up this season. Is Aaron Rodgers retiring? If he does, how will the Steelers respond? Either way, Gainwell has carved himself into a role for a team in 2026, and the extent of that will depend on his situation.
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