Monday Night Football in Week 11 of the 2025 NFL season is a battle between the Dallas Cowboys and Las Vegas Raiders. It’s been a tough season for both teams; Dallas comes in at 3-5-1, while Las Vegas sits at 2-7.
Let’s dive into my Cowboys vs. Raiders predictions dive.
Dallas Cowboys vs. Las Vegas Raiders Odds
Moneyline: Cowboys -185 / Raiders +155
Spread: Cowboys -3.5 (-105) / Raiders +3.5 (-115)
Total: More than 49.5 (-110) / Less than 49.5 (-110)
Dallas Cowboys vs. Las Vegas Raiders Best Bet No. 1: Cowboys -3.5 (-115)
This is a great spot for the Cowboys, who should be bigger favorites. Playing on the road normally lowers the spread by about three points, and Las Vegas isn’t a tough place to play — especially when the Raiders are already (basically) eliminated from the playoffs. Plus, Dallas has a bye week.
The best news for the Cowboys is that the Raiders are terrible. Las Vegas has lost three straight games in which the average was 12.0 ppg. The most recent game for head coach Pete Carroll’s club set attacking football back several years, if not decades. The Raiders and Broncos combined for just 10 first downs in Denver’s 10-7 win in Week 10, and Las Vegas averaged an anemic 3.2 yards per play. There’s no denying that Dallas’ defense stinks, but the home team will likely have to score a goal lot points to keep up with the visitors’ powerful attack. I don’t think the Raiders can score much against everyone. It should also be noted that the Cowboys’ defense may have at least some improvement as trade deadline acquisitions Quinnen Williams and Logan Wilson are set to make their debuts with their new team.
Dallas Cowboys vs. Dallas Cowboys Best Player Prop Bet Las Vegas Raiders: Geno Smith Over 231.5 passing yards (-114)
Expect Smith to attempt a lot of passes on Monday night, which in turn will add up to a significant amount of yardage. The Raiders will likely play from behind, in which case they would have to air it out in an attempt to stop the clock and extend the game. Taking a few tries would be nothing new for the West Virginia product. He has thrown at least 34 passes four times this season, including 39 on an effort of 284 yards and four touchdowns against Jacksonville in Week 9.
Smith should be especially productive against a terrible Cowboys pass defense. Dallas ranks 29th in the league against the pass, allowing 254.4 yards per game. It is second-to-last in yards per pass attempt allowed at 8.2. The last two QBs the Cowboys faced were for 247 yards (Bo Nix) and 261 yards (Jacoby Brissett). It’s fair to say that none of these guys are anything special. It doesn’t matter that Smith is a mediocre quarterback; he is fully capable of torching Dallas, especially now that Brock Bowers is healthy.
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