Thanksgiving football is here. It’s just a great day, both professionally and at university level. A three-game NFL series is headlined by an absolutely huge game between the Kansas City Chiefs and Dallas Cowboys at AT&T Stadium in Dallas. Both teams need it for their respective playoff hopes. Kansas City is 6-5; Dallas is 5-5-1.
Let’s dive into my Chiefs vs. Cowboys predictions dive.
Odds between Kansas City Chiefs and Dallas Cowboys
Moneyline: Chiefs -185 / Cowboys +154
Spread: Chiefs -3.5 (-105) / Cowboys +3.5 (-115)
Total: Over 52.5 (-110) / Under 52.5 (-110)
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Dallas Cowboys Best Bet No. 1: Cowboys +3.5 (-110)
It’s only Week 13, but the fact that the Cowboys are still in realistic playoff contention at this point in the season is a relative success — especially compared to where this team was earlier this year, and even as recently as the trade deadline. A crucial two-game winning streak includes a massive 24-21 loss to Philadelphia last weekend, a showdown that saw Dallas erase a 21-0 deficit. The Eagles didn’t score a single point in the final 41 minutes of the afternoon, a clear indication of the progress the Cowboys defense has made. The acquisitions of tackle Quinnen Williams and linebacker Logan Wilson at the trade deadline have certainly been a factor. As for the offense, that’s never been a problem. Dak Prescott is third in the league in passing yards and second in passing TDs. George Pickens has made 18 receptions on 20 targets for 290 yards and two scores over the past two weeks.
The Chiefs offense simply isn’t the same as it was in years past. Travis Kelce’s production is declining and the ground game is barely existent. They had lost two games in a row before narrowly edging past the visiting Colts last weekend. The Cowboys have lost just once at home in 2025 – a far cry from their effort at AT&T Stadium last season. At the very least, they should be able to keep this game close from start to finish.
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Dallas Cowboys best player prop bet: Patrick Mahomes Over 266.5 passing yards (-113)
Mahomes has been on a roll lately – maybe not as extensive as his MVP-winning seasons, but still pretty good. He has surpassed that 266.5 mark in four of the last five games, including a 352-yard effort against the Colts. That was preceded by a 276-yard performance against the Broncos, who boast one of the best defenses in football.
Mahomes now faces a Dallas defense that may have improved a bit, but is still terrible against the pass. The Cowboys have allowed the third-most passing yards per game and the third-most passing yards per attempt in the entire league.
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