BTC calm before the storm? Analyst eyes late 2025 rally

Tl; Dr.

• Bitcoin keeps stable close to $ 115,500, with analysts who expect sustainable growth before an overheated phase of 2025.
• The risk attitude of the sales side decreases less than 0.1%, which shows a low sales pressure and continuous accumulation for holders.
• Analysts pay attention to $ 117k, because $ 3 billion can be liquidated in shorts, which means that a stronger rally is fueled.

Market sentiment and long -term front views

Bitcoin traded at around $ 115,500 at the time of the press, unchanged on the day, with a 3% profit during the week. Every day trading volume reached $ 44.3 billion. Analysts describe the market as stable, although the momentum remains filled.

Daan Crypto Trades observed”

“The market has now been 10 months since the last period in which it was really overheated.”

He noted that the last overheated phase came after the elections, when Bitcoin and Altcoins immediately rose. He added that the current market is a “slow grinding” with neutral sentiment and little new retail activity.

Looking ahead, he expects an overheated phase by the end of 2025, but added,

“If we finally take a different route and expand the cycle to 2026, I will just be patient a little longer.”

Bitcoin and Grote Altcoins finance data from Coinglass shows in a balanced state in the past year. Financing percentages, which reflect the costs of covering long or short futures positions, often signal overheated or anxious trade in extreme.

Most of the year the financing floats on neutral or somewhat positive levels, with only short eruptions of high numbers. This suggests that traders currently do not chase aggressive rallies. Without long -term extremes, neither Bitcoin nor altcoins go through extensive highlights or lows, which supports the idea that the market can consolidate in a healthy way.

Data on chains point to accumulation

Ali Martinez reported that the risk attitude of Bitcoin sales on the sales side has fallen below 0.1%, and said that this level “often indicates local soils, accumulative phases and low sales pressure.” The metric compares realized profits and losses, and a lecture of this low shows that few holders achieve profits.

Bitcoin $ BTC The risk attitude on the sales side fell just below 0.1%. This level often indicates local soils, accumulative phases and low sales pressure. pic.twitter.com/lbp8joe8of

– Ali (@ali_charts) September 16, 2025

Past drops under the same threshold in 2023, 2024 and early 2025 corresponded to phases where Bitcoin consolidated before he recovered. This pattern suggests that current market conditions prefer accumulation, because the sales pressure remains low.

Important levels and liquidation risks

Cryptowzrd described The last daily closing as indecisive but sees room for a bullish impulse to $ 120,000 for the rate sentiment of the Federal Reserve. They warned that “A movement under $ 114,800 would keep Bitcoin weak.” On Intraday cards, BTC pushed above $ 117,000, which could open a different trade setup if they are maintained.

At the same time, Kyle Chassé warned That “$ 3B in shorts is liquidated when $ btc hits $ 117k.” Exchange Liquidation Data shows a large cluster of short positions just above the current price, which suggests that if Bitcoin moves higher, a wave of forced liquidations can add fuel to the rally.