Bitcoin slows down, but autumn 2025 could ignite its biggest rally so far

The current Crypto market cycle has shown signs of delay for the past week or so, with BTC losing around $ 15,000 since the peak.

Nevertheless, experts expect a large meeting in the autumn of 2025.

Record break Peak this fall

When analyzing Bitcoin’s long -term holding trends, measured by the percentage that is held for more than a year on the basis of realized market capitalization, cryptoquant found Those cycles from the past (phases 1 and 2) experienced sharp peaks, which led to pronounced peaks.

On the other hand, the current phase 3 shows a gradual flattening of the upward trend and an extension cycle. Important factors behind this pattern are the introduction of spot ETFs, growing institutional acceptance and even involvement at Nature level at Bitcoin.

An important feature of this cycle is that the inflow into Altcoins often coincides with breaks in the total market momentum, which has been repeatedly observed. In contrast to 2023-2024, when Bitcoin dominated the attention of the market, capital is increasingly shifting to altcoins as wider diversification continued.

Looking ahead, a rate reduction that was expected in September, in addition to the possible approval of spot ETFs for Altcoins in October, points to a favorable environment for renewed growth. From a cycles perspective, the current consolidation phase can be a precursor of a stronger upward trend at the end of 2025.

Cryptoquant even believes that investors can see any additional corrections during this period as potential access points.

Crypto -rally at the end of 2025

This is in line with the recent observation of Cryptobirb, which revealed that Bitcoin’s bull market could approach its final phase. After having surpassed $ 124k earlier this month, Bitcoin confronted with turbulent trade, shortly below $ 109k immersed when the momentum became fragile.

However, historical data indicates that the current cycle 93% has been completed and a potential blow-off top is projected between October and mid-November 2025. The crypto analyst referred to earlier Bull Runs and noted that the Cycle 2010-2011 lasted 350 days, the cycle 2011-2013 lasted for 746.

The current cycle, which has been overstrained for about 1,010 days, corresponds to the expected peaks after distributing, which will perform historically 366-548 days after the event. After the Halving of April 2024, the expected peak window is 19 October-20 November 2025.