Bitcoin Price Analysis: $105,000 Target in Sight Despite Fears of ‘Cycle Inversion’? – Cryptocurrency news broadcast

Bitcoin (BTC) is trading at a crucial juncture this week, hovering around $92,080 as traders brace for the Federal Reserve’s upcoming interest rate decision. Although assets have recovered from early December lows of ~$83,800, the market remains divided between bullish year-end targets of $105,000 and bearish warnings of a “cycle inversion”.

The ‘reverse cycle’ and market sentiment

Sentiment has tentatively shifted as Bitcoin’s dominance reaches a multi-year high of around 56.10%, choking altcoins even as BTC stabilizes. Some analysts argue that the traditional four-year cycle has been “inverted,” suggesting that the real bear market may be masked by high nominal prices.

• Bearish case: Analyst Willy Woo warns that Bitcoin’s cycle may have peaked, noting that M2 money supply growth is no longer the main driver of price action. Instead, the US Dollar Index (DXY) has become the “defining chart” for 2025, with bigger problems with the spelling of the dollar for risky assets.
• Bullish case: Conversely, the QCP Group and other optimists view the current price action as a “structural recovery,” predicting that the Fed’s rate cut could serve as a catalyst for a breakout to $100,000.

Technical Outlook: The Road to $105,000

Technical analysts are considering a “dip and rip” scenario for the remainder of December. Michael van de Poppe has outlined a specific roadmap where Bitcoin may need to overcome lower support levels before embarking on a rally.

Michael van de Poppe (@CryptoMichNL)
“Bitcoin could reach $105,000 by December 2025, but it may need to retest the support levels between $88,000 and $90,000 before a sustained rally later this month.”

Likewise, Rekt Capital emphasizes the importance of the $93,000 level.

Right Capital (@rektcapital)
“History suggests that the price could end 2025 with a green candle, closing above $93,000 before disappearing completely in 2026. A close above this level is critical to maintain the bullish structure.”

Chart Analysis: December Forecast

The following chart visualizes the “Dip & Rip” scenario favored by analysts like Van de Poppe, where a retest of the $88,000 support provides the liquidity needed for a boost to $105,000.

Important levels to watch

• Support ($88,000 – $90,000): This zone is crucial. A break below $88,000 could negate the bullish setup and open the door to $84,400.
• Resistance ($93,000 – $95,000): The “line in the sand” for bulls. Reclaiming this zone is necessary to trigger a run towards the psychological $100,000 mark.
• Goal ($105,000): The main upside target for December if momentum continues and the Fed makes a favorable rate cut.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investing in cryptocurrencies involves significant risks. Always conduct your own research and consult a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.