AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am betting guide: 5 picks our experts love this week

Welcome to our weekly PGA Tour betting tips column, featuring tips from GOLF.com’s expert prognosticator, Brady Kannon. A veteran golf bettor and commentator, Kannon is a host and regular on SportsGrid, a syndicated audio network dedicated to sports and sports betting, and is a golf betting analyst for CBS Sportsline. You can follow Brady on Twitter at @LasVegasGolferand you can read below his picks for the 2026 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am, which kicks off Thursday in Pebble Beach, California.

Last season, JJ Spaun (100-1) lost in a playoff at the Players and Justin Rose (100-1) in a playoff at the Masters. We’re now 0-for-1 in the 2026 playoffs after our man, Hideki Matsuyama (26-1) bogeyed the final hole in regulation and then lost to the suddenly red-hot Chris Gotterup in a playoff Sunday in Scottsdale. Sometimes you’ve played it correctly and it just doesn’t happen. On to Pebble Beach. Let’s see if we can play it correctly again.

The West Coast Swing resumes on the incredible Monterey Peninsula. The AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am is the first Signature Event on the PGA Tour of the new season. The field is limited to 80 players, there is no cut and the amateurs only play with the professionals on Thursday and Friday. Similar to what we saw two weeks ago at Torrey Pines, this week it will be a two-course rotation between Pebble and Spyglass Hill on Thursday and Friday. Each player plays one round on each course for the first two days, and over the weekend it’s all Pebble Beach.

The two courses are of course similar, in terms of location and coastal influence, and both courses feature Poa Annua grass greens. However, Spyglass Hill is mainly tree-lined and forested, with only a handful of holes overlooking Carmel Bay. The fairways are narrower and the greens are of average size. Neighboring Pebble Beach is almost entirely on the coastline, has wide fairways and some of the smallest greens on Tour.

Because three of the four rounds are played at Pebble Beach, this is where most of the focus lies. Hitting the greens is a big part of the puzzle here and because the greens are so small, so is scrambling. The greens will be missed and getting up and down successfully will go a long way in fighting for a win. This also applies to putting. Again, as we saw two weeks ago at Torrey Pines, Poa Annua is the putting surface and it can be very tricky. I tend to lean towards players who are more familiar with this type of surface and have had success with it in the past.

Both golf courses are of the shorter variety. Pebble measures just under 7,000 meters and Spyglass is just over 7,000 meters. It comes down to par 4s from 350-450 yards and an emphasis on approach play from 75-150 yards.

For comparison, I used Sea Island, where they play the RSM Classic in the fall. I also used Torrey Pines, which is very different in many ways but shares its California coastal location and Poa Annua greens. I have also used Hamilton and St. George’s Golf and Country Club in Canada. These courses have recently hosted three Canadian Opens and we see many of the same names appearing at the top of these rankings. For example, Rory McIlroy is your defending champion here at Pebble Beach, while Shane Lowry comes in second. It was exactly the same combination that finished 1-2 with Hamilton at the Canadian Open in 2019. McIlroy also won at St. George’s in Canada in 2022.

Victor Hovland (35-1)

Pebble Beach holds a special place in Hovland’s career. He won the US Amateur here in 2018 and the following year became the low amateur at the 2019 US Open at Pebble Beach, where he finished 12th. Even when he really struggled in 2025, he managed to finish in the top 25 at Pebble. This year he enters TPC Scottsdale in 10th place, where he finished fifth in the field for SG: Approach and 16th in SG: Putting. I like the momentum conveyed here in a place where he’s really flourishing. Hovland also finished second at Torrey Pines in 2021.

Cameron Young (38-1)

Young is two-for-two with cuts this season and last week in Phoenix he was especially good with the putter and in Scrambling. He’s never been spectacular here at Pebble Beach, but in two trips to Torrey Pines he’s finished 20th and 22nd, so I like that he can handle the Poa Annua greens. Looking back on last summer, Young played in eleven events. He finished in the top 5 five times, including a win at the Wyndham Championship. He finished in the top 11 three more times. Over the final 24 rounds, he was in the top 25 in this area for Greens in Regulation Gained, Scrambling, on the 350-450 yard Par 4s, and in Hole Proximity from 100-125 yards.

Outsider McNealy (40-1)

We tried McNealy to open the season in Hawaii and he ended up finishing 24th at the Sony Open. Since then, he placed 10th at Torrey Pines and last week 13th at Scottsdale, where he finished sixth in the field for Greens in Regulation. McNealy grew up on the Monterey Peninsula and knows this course as well, if not better, than anyone in the field. Let’s not forget that his first PGA Tour victory came in the fall of 2024 at Sea Island during the RSM Classic. He is very solid across the board in all the stats I looked at this week, ranking sixth in this field for SG: Putting (Poa Annua) and in Hole Proximity from 125-150 yards over the last 24 rounds.

Taylor Pendrith (95-1)

We’re going to dig a little deeper into the odds board to round out the card and I’m going for the “Canadian Taylor double-dip,” starting with Pendrith, who has finished ninth and seventh in his last two visits to Pebble Beach and has also been a whopping ninth and seventh at Torrey Pines. He finished 21st in Hamilton at the 2024 Canadian Open and was as high as 15th at the RSM Classic. Over the last 24 rounds, Pendrith is ranked 24th in this field ahead of SG: Putting (Poa Annua). He has missed his last two matches, but started the year with a sixth-place finish at the Sony Open.

Nick Taylor (125-1)

The second half of the Canadian Taylors is Nick, a former champion here at Pebble Beach when he went gate-to-wire in 2020. He may be one of the sneaky, best players in the world who never really gets the billing of the elite. He is a five-time winner on the Tour and was especially good on the West Coast Swing. He won the Sony Open last year and will win the WM Phoenix Open in 2024. His best qualities are accuracy off the tee, Greens in Regulation and Scrambling. No surprise that has served him well here in the past. He also ranks 35th in this field for SG: Putting (Poa Annua) over the last 24 rounds.