Assessment of the point projections of the Maple Leafs for the NHL season 2025-26 -The Hockey Writers Toronto Maple Leafs latest news, analysis and more

The time of NHL projections and predictions stands for us, with many The hockey writers Staring in our crystal balls to look ahead to what could come during the 2025-26 season. When it comes to the Toronto Maple Leafs, Rupert McDonald, Spencer Lazary and Peter Baracchini have already taken stitches on some daring predictions.

In the meantime I will transfer the prospects of my own Maple Leafs of the last preseason, where I will Point projections explained By nhl.com’s Fantasy Hockey Staff. Perhaps predictable, the exercise yielded a mixed bag of hits and misses last season. To summarize:

• I wrongly claimed that Auston Matthews would exceed his 110-point projection (he was good with 78 points).
• I correctly suggested that William Nylander would fall short of 100 points (he had 84).
• I felt that 95 points seemed reasonable for Mitch Marner (he tongue 102).
• I precisely predicted that John Tavares would surpass his 71-point projection (he had 74 in 75 games).
• I was double wrong because I believed that Max Domi would note 50 points (he had 33) and would register a double-digit goal total (he had eight).
• Matthew Breis rode his 43-point projection (he had 58), as I said he would do that.
• NHL.com and I both did not succeed in the disappointing season of Morgan Rielly, because he came far below the 67 points he would score (he would with 41).
• We were also a bit too high on Oliver Ekman-Larsson in his debut season with the Maple Leafs, while he ended with 29 points, under his 38-point projection.
• In the end I intended the challenges that are inherent to Joseph Woll to achieve 33 victories. In what was a very solid season for the net, he still got away alone with 27.

With all that in mind, let’s go straight to a new season of point projections to assess:

Auston Matthews: 91 points

The overwhelming output of last season, while Matthews focused on his new Captainincy and more a two-way match played into a dramatic adjustment of the Point expectations of the Maple Leafs Superstar. Nhl.com sees him exceeding the 78 points that he delivered in 67 games last season (Ideally with better health), but still expects that he will arise well with the 110 they projected for him prior to the 2024-25 campaign.

In reality, it is practically impossible to predict how Matthews will navigate a future without Marner in tow rope. On the one hand, Marner helped last season with 20 of the 33 goals of Matthews, so the 28-year-old will certainly feel the emptiness not to have him set up. On the other hand, however, he was able to take on an Alfa role in the attacking end and see his scoring figures worry. It is also worth noting that the early days of training camp seem to be Signs of chemistry With a new addition Matias Maccelli.

Judgment: It is difficult to call, but the Matthews ceiling extends much further than the 91 points that are predicted.

William Nylander: 84 points

For a team that is confronted with a lot of uncertainty, the health and stability of Nylander is a relief. In the past four seasons he has only missed one match while supplying every campaign between 80 and 98 points. Last season he saw a new career-best target marking (45), but a dip in assists resulted in an 84-point season in line with his typical production.

So why would NHL.com do something different than Project Nylyer to offer more of the same on the way to another 84 points? Perhaps Marner’s absence will push the 29-year-old Swede to harm more of the attacking load, but he can also be just what he is on his way to his 11th NHL season. And where he seems to be a reliable point-getter that can be counted as a top 20 scorer in the competition.

Judgment: 84 points seem to be the same in accordance with what to expect from the hyper -consistent nylander.

John Tavares: 72 points

Tavares’ age-rating, almost point-per-game Renaissance last season played many heads, but did not result in much change in his projections. After recording 74 points in 2024-25, NHL.com will keep an eye on 72 points this time. Although duplicating his 0.987 point per game marking may be quite a task, it is reasonable to expect that the typically healthy 35-year-old seven games will not miss, the most missed in a season since 2013-14.

We all know that Matthews will be the last player to be introduced as part of the home opener of next Wednesday and will probably yield a loud ovation. However, let’s hope that Tavares will be greeted with a similarly heated welcome after he followed a resilient season by signing a team -friendly, four -year -old deal worth $ 17.5 million to stay in Toronto. Now that this season earns slightly less than $ 4.4 million, a 72-point campaign would provide enormous value based on its CAP hit.

Judgment: Signs of decline can be on the horizon for Tavares, but a season near 72 points should still be in the cards.

Matthew Byies: 68 points

How enviable a position are the Maple Leafs in when it comes to knives? So much so that the 22-year-old rising star is expected to get in 68 points and the projection still feels a bit on the low side. After the Phoenix, the resident of Arizona jumped from 35 points to 58 points, while he almost doubled his goal, he has the chance of a new considerable increase again.

Firstly, Breys has to enjoy an almost permanent house next to Matthews as the upper line right wing player from the start. That alone must ensure an increase in the ice age compared to the 18:31 that he had on average last season. He also promises to be a mainstay on the Top Play Play unit, especially with the departure of Marner. If his game can also make the next development step forward, he should not have much trouble blowing through his NHL.com projections for the second season in a row.

Judgment: 68 points seem a bit low for the rapidly rising superstar of the Maple Leafs.

Matias Maccelli: 50 points

In three pre -season games, Maccelli is almost a quarter of the way to match his total offensive production from last season as a member of what was the Utah Hockey Club when. That is as a praise for how effective he has been with the Maple Leafs from the start of his term of office and an indictment of how bad last season went for the 24-year-old.

A injury in the lower body prior to the Christmas holidays derailed the majority of the second half of Maccelli, but even that does not explain a campaign that only saw him manage 18 points in 55 games while fall out of the grace in Utah. A projection of 50 points would indicate some optimism that last season was a coincidence, an opinion that has been strengthened in the midst of the Finnish winger Impressive preseason show. Not to pour too much cold water on that theory, but 50 points seem a bit ambitious to the uncertain foot of Maccelli in the top six-zes.

Judgment: Maccelli’s encouraging preseason Despite, 50 points seem a tough demand for the newcomer.

Max Domi: 47 points

Speaking about worn as if 2024-25 did not happen, Domi would certainly like to clean the slate after his overwhelming 33-point with last season. It seems that the NHL.com fantasy projectors have already done this, so that the same 47-point output predicts as he brought forward in 2023-24. This of course not only relies on a bounce back season, but also a more prominent role in the absence of Marner and some momentum that overflows from a strong late season (three goals and seven points in 13 games).

With so many encouraging signs for his 2025-26 season, it is a shame that Domi did not have the chance for a better training camp. The 30-year-old Was already put aside With an injury in the lower body when his grandfather died. Although the pain of losing a beloved family member certainly continues, there is now the hope that he can turn the page and concentrate again for a season full of opportunities.

Judgment: A strong start would go a long way in securing Domi’s place in the line-up and making the 47-point projection a reality.

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Morgan Rielly: 45 points

When it comes to comeback opportunities on the Maple Leafs, no one has been the focus of as much optimism as Rielly. Long -term Toronto Blue Liner reflected with a lot of frankness During a disappointing campaign 2024-25, acknowledged: “My game has fallen. I am very proud of my career and I was really disappointed in myself. That is hard to give and difficult to come.”

Now Rielly has the chance to show that he put firmly in the rear -view mirror last season. For their part, NHL.com does not seem entirely certain that he can do it, and offers a 45-point projection that is much more closely related to the actual 41-point output of last season than the 67 points they projected before his lower whelt campaign or the 58 points he produced in 2023-24. Although it is possible that a full season together with Brandon Carlo offers him more attacking freedom, there is simply no long track record of players who come back from the seasons after they had reached 30 (tavares notwithstanding).

Judgment: Rielly can be a Trendy pick for a large Renaissance This season” But the projection of NHL.com of a modest increase in production is probably more realistic.

Bobby McMann: 44 points

With the risk of exerting too much pressure on a late-flowering Middle-six-forecast attacker, the fortunes of May’s May Leafs end up at least somewhat intertwined with the game of Bobby McMann. One of the few depth attackers to make offensive impact, the 29-year-old set 20 goals in his first full NHL season. If he continues the same upward progress, he could play a central role in offering a much -needed balanced score for the forward ranks of the club.

While McMann made some top-six cameo performances last season, those 20 goals (and 34 points) mainly came alongside colleague-Bottom-Six forward options, which received many feeds from Steven Lorentz and Pontus Holmberg. The former Vegas Golden Knight should at least start the season on a line with Nicolas Roy, should help offer the necessary stability and playing play to promote a new statistical jump.

Judgment: McMann looks ready for a new jump and this could see him push the 50-point plateau.

Last season brought a mixed bag with underperformers and over -performers under the Maple Leafs, at least where the NHL.com projections were involved. All of this was a title of Atlantic Division and a trip to game 7 of the second round in what was perhaps the best show of the past quarter century. It is still to be seen how the Crystal Ball is doing this season.