New Delhi:
In a moving week, stock markets volatile trends can be confronted before the interest rate decision of the RBI and the announcements of the American inflation data, while investors continue to assess the broader implications of American rates for the world economy and inflation, analysts said.
Investors fear that a complete trade war will influence global trade and economic growth, according to markt experts.
Stock markets would remain closed on Thursday for “Shri Mahavir Jayanti”.
“This week will be volatile for the global and Indian markets, as US President Donald Trump imposed rates worldwide, the fear of a total trade war and a global economic recession inflamed. The American inflation balls will be released together with the FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) minutes,” said Puneet.
Equity benchmarks fell in pocket on Friday due to an over-the-line sale, in which weak world markets are followed in the midst of the growing fears of the global trade war.
In its own country, the RBI will decide on interest rates. India’s industrial and production production data will also be released this week, he said.
US Equity Markets refueled almost 6 percent on Friday and closes the worst week before the shares since 2020.
The data of China’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) for March are planned for release on Thursday, and the British GDP data on Friday, added Singhania.
Last week the BSE Sesex fueled 2,050.23 points, or 2.64 percent, while the NSE Nifty fell 614.8 points or 2.61 percent.
“This week it is expected that the Indian markets will be volatile on the back of worries about the impact of American mutual rates and possible announcements of further sector -specific rates during the week.
“The Focus will also be on the monetary policy result of RBI on April 9, where the market expects another 25 BPS rate reduction, and Q4 FY25 profit season will start with TCS results on 10 April,” said Siddhartha Khemka, main research, wealth management, Motilal Financial Services, said.
Investors will also be careful for CPI data from March from the US and India that will be released this week, he said.
This week, markets would sharply follow the commercial activity of foreign investors, rupees-dolly and rough oil prices, experts said.
Last week the benchmark-Indices fell after a global sale that was fueled by Trump’s rate announcements and renewed concerns about economic delay, Mr Khemka added.
“Investors fear that Trump’s mutual tariff policy will feed the recession and stimulate inflation in the US and will also flood other important economies,” said Prashanth Tapse, Senior VP (Research), Mehta Equites Ltd.
VK Vijayakumar, main investment strategist, Geojit Investments Ltd, said: “The trend of FPIs that running buyers changed in March at the beginning of April when FPIs became sellers again. An important trend domination in global stock markets took place after President Trump had announced mutual tariff on 2 April.”
The mutual rates came much steeper than expected, he noticed.
“The basic line rate of 10 percent for all imports, the 25 percent rate for all imports of cars and steep mutual rates for most countries is expected to increase inflation in the US and there are concern that the American economy could even slide into intern. This triggered mass sales in the American markets where S & P 500,” “Mr.” Mr. Mr. Mr. Viajay said.
(Except for the headline, this story was not edited by NDTV staff and has been published from a syndicated feed.)
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