A major college football schedule in Week 14 is led in part by the Iron Bowl – the Alabama Crimson Tide versus the Auburn Tigers on Saturday night. The Crimson Tide is 9-2 and trying to secure a spot in the SEC Championship; the Tigers have lost a slew of one-possession games and are 5-6.
Let’s take a look at my predictions for Alabama vs. Auburn.
Alabama vs. Auburn odds
– Moneyline: Alabama -218 / Auburn +180
– Point spread: Alabama -5.5 (-108) / Auburn +5.5 (-112)
– More/less: more than 46.5 (-105) / less than 46.5 (-115)
Alabama vs. Auburn Best Bet No. 1: Under 46.5 (-110)
The total is down from 48.5, which is no surprise. The Crimson Tide ranks 10th nationally in scoring defense at 16.2 points per game allowed; the Tigers give up just 20.1 ppg. Alabama also ranks No. 9 in total defense (270.5 yards allowed per game); Auburn ranks in the top 40 in that department (333.6 yards allowed per game). Despite being 1-6 in the SEC, the Tigers don’t give up points easily. They are No. 11 against the run (94.0 yards per play allowed) and fifth in yards per rushing attempt allowed (2.7).
Unfortunately for the home team, the attack was inept. In five of the six losses, Auburn has scored 17 points or fewer – and that even includes one double-overtime game. The Tigers lost 10-3 at home to Kentucky earlier this month. Ashton Daniels has returned to the starting quarterback role, playing just three games in the 2025 season. Throughout his college career (including three years at Stanford), Daniles has thrown nearly as many interceptions (21) as he has thrown touchdowns (23). Auburn generally plays fundamental football – a recipe for unders. The Tigers can run the ball and stop the run. When they continue to score drives, more often than not they include many running plays that take up a lot of time.
There have been some wild, high-scoring Iron Bowls in recent years, but they really don’t outweigh the relative defensive struggles. Five of the last ten mutual meetings yielded no more than 46 points.
Alabama vs. Auburn Best Bet on Player: Jeremiah Cobb Over 72.5 rushing yards (-114)
Cobb has rushed for at least 72 yards in four of the last five games, including four straight against SEC opponents. This route contains three runs of 111 yards or more. The junior from Montgomery, Ala. has exceeded this quota of 72.5 six times this season, five of which were well above 100 meters.
There’s no reason to think Cobb will slow down against Alabama. As a significant underdog, Auburn will want to run the ball as often as possible and keep the clock moving. Either way, it’s the way to attack the Crimson Tide’s defense. ‘Bama is No. 4 in the nation against the pass, but it gives up 121.8 rushing yards per game on 3.8 yards per attempt. Expect Cobb to get a ton of carries, so even a mediocre effort by his standards should push him past 72.5.
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