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What happened at the World Markets in July 2025
Performance of the world share markets
- Tech-heavy Nasdaq was strong, while Nyse was flat
- Japan was also strong
- And that was also China, A-stores were the best
- Europe was also a bit up
Find the updated Performance of the world share markets here.
US-EU Deal ends with 15% rates for most EU goods
🧵 The trade agreement of the EU-US is objectively bad for the EU, possibly even terrible.
It is a deal that, despite its name, makes trade more expensive and unattractive. Most EU products will be subject to a goinging rate of 15%, which means that the average percentage of 4.8% triple before Trump’s second term. pic.twitter.com/68rr2pkstf
– Jorge Liboreiro (@jorgeliboreiro) July 27, 2025
US-EU Trade deal is about optics
The EU imported $ 420 billion in energy (oil, gas, etc.) in 2024.
Only about 15% of that came from the US.
So how should we buy $ 750 billion in American energy before 2028?
It just won’t happen.
Pure optics designed to charm Trump – and it worked.
– Andreas Steno Larsen (@andreassteno) July 29, 2025
- The EU imported US $ 420n in energy in 2024, and only about 15% of that came from the US.
- So it is unlikely that the EU will buy $ 750 billion in American energy before 2028
US-China Handelswating Extended 90 days
⚠️US-China TarifwatentEnsverbenszen: a temporary delay in the midst of persistent trade tensions
Recent developments indicate that the United States and China are ready to expand their continuous rate again by 90 days. This expansion retains the temporary suspension of the … pic.twitter.com/1wxmaix4un
– Andrea Lisi, CFA (@Andrea_Texas_82) July 27, 2025
ECB kept rates unchanged at 2%
We have kept our most important interest rates unchanged.
We expect inflation to stabilize around our target of 2%in the coming period.
Read the decisions of today’s monetary policy https://t.co/vrpheci5kw pic.twitter.com/d4jvsyrgd3
– European Central Bank (@ecb) July 24, 2025
Fed held rates unchanged against Trump’s dismay
Breaking: President Trump issues a statement after Fed Chair Powell has organized the interest rates for the 5th consecutive time:
Trump says that Powell is “too late, too angry, too stupid and too political.” pic.twitter.com/hgqygjifry
– De Kobeissi -Letter (@kobeissiletter) July 31, 2025
US $ 139 billion in livered ETFs, the highest amount in history
Only in 🚨: Investors have now plowed $ 139 billion in livered ETFs, the highest amount in history 🤯 risk of people, risk of 🤑🫡🚀 pic.twitter.com/vhuoufwkGJ
– Barchart (@Barchart) July 30, 2025
World power won 1.1% in July
- The strategy has a core target allocation of 20%
- The progress at various American trade agreements made the trade war less likely, and the shares had risen
Global bonds fell 0.3% in July 2025
- The strategy has a core show of global bonds; The current target allocation is 45%
- ECB kept rates stable, and the FED is expected to do the same, so that bond returns were retained (bond prices and returns moving against)
Raw materials took place in July 2025
- We had no assignment to raw materials
WTI oil closed July at US $ 70/BBL versus US $ 66/BBL in June
- US-EU Trade agreement and general strong demand led to higher oil prices
Energy was the strongest
- Livestock was also strong, because the prices of the cattle reached new highlights
Gold was flat in July 2025
- We had a target allocation of 10% in gold
- Gold closed the month at US $ 3,290/OZ T
- There is still geopolitical uncertainty, but July remained relatively stable, which was reflected in the gold price
Only US $ reinforced against gold in July 2025
- Usually a stronger US $ means a lower gold price in US $ and vice versa
Performance assessment: All weather inflation guard
All weather inflation -guard won 0.4%
Since its foundation, the strategy has increased 11.6% and 6.3% above a 40/60 portfolio
- The strategy has also experienced less volatility
In July 2025 the strategy had risen by 0.4%, which was 0.2% above 40/60 portfolio
- Our 5% lace to financial data did great
- Our tilting of infrastructure and gold were under world power
- Tips and the Geldmarkt did better than global bonds
The strategy has remained behind it A 40/60 portfolio with 1.3% 2025YTD
- The strategy defeated a 40/60 portfolio by 1.0% in 2024
Performance assessment: All weather strategy
All weather strategy won 1.3%
Since its foundation, the strategy increased by 56.9% and 20.9% above a 60/40 portfolio
In July 2025 the strategy had risen by 1.3%, which was 0.9% above 60/40 portfolio
- Our 25% allocation to developed Europe did well, while emerging markets ex China were performed on the same footing with World Equity
- Our 25% target allocation to gold dragged the performance, but defeated global bonds
The strategy has remained behind it A 60/40 portfolio with 0.4% 2025YTDD
- The strategy has achieved a higher risk-corrected efficiency than 60/40
- The strategy defeated a 60/40 portfolio by 7.0% in 2024
Performance assessment: All weather focus on all weather conditions
All weather focus on the weather has won 0.2%
Since the beginning, the strategy had risen 10.1Calculation And 7.9% above a 60/40 portfolio
And 4.5% below world power, but with much less volatility
In July 2025 the strategy had risen by 0.2%, which was 0.2% lower than the 60/40 portfolio
- Our 15% tilting to financial data did great
- However, European small caps and precious metals that miners survived in the performance
The strategy has added 2.3% value compared to a 60/40 portfolio in 2025ytd
- The strategy defeated a 60/40 portfolio by 3.5% in 2024
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