$50,000 or $120,000 by Christmas? Here’s what 4 AIs expect from Bitcoin

“Expect consolidation around $86,000-$90,000 in early December, then a rise to $110,000-$120,000 by December 25 as resistance breaks,” Grok said.

Instead of bringing any hope, December brought even more pain, and now the big question is whether the valuation will collapse to $50,000 or stage a rebound to $120,000 by Christmas. To get a clearer perspective, we decided to ask four of the most popular AI-powered chatbots for their opinions on the matter.

What is more likely?

ChatGPT suggested that a sharp decline to $50,000 before December 25 is possible, but would require a major negative catalyst. Such events would be a collapse of a popular crypto exchange (similar to what happened with FTX in 2022) or a new military conflict around the world.

The chatbot assumed that an unexpected interest rate increase from the Federal Reserve could have the same effect. The US central bank will decide on December 10 whether to cut the benchmark, raise it or leave it unchanged, and at the time of writing the probability of a 0.25% decline is 90%.

ChatGPT sees a slightly higher chance of a rise to $120,000 before Christmas. Nevertheless, such a price explosion would be highly dependent on factors such as renewed institutional inflows into spot BTC ETFs, a massive buying spree by whales, and general macro optimism.

In conclusion, the chatbot estimated that the most likely scenario for the leading digital asset would range between $70,000 and $95,000 through December.

Grok took a much bullish stance, emphasizing that a collapse to $50,000 before Christmas is simply off the table for BTC.

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“That level implies a 43% drop from here, defying the liquidity floodgates opening this month (QT end, stimulus). Expect consolidation around $86,000-$90,000 in early December, then a boost to $110,000-$120,000 by December 25 as resistance breaks. A true bear market feels premature in this bull cycle; we are in a ‘teenage volatility’ on the way to adulthood.”

Other opinions

The dismay also leaned toward the bullish target. It claimed that BTC is more likely to test $120,000 than fall to $50,000, based on technical conditions and macro tailwinds outweighing near-term consolidation risks.

Google’s Gemini, for its part, said both levels represent the “extreme ends of the spectrum,” with strong arguments in favor of both. At the same time, the chatbot estimated that a return to $50,000 is less likely than a jump to $120,000, despite the current bearish sentiment.