Nascar -fans predict Bad Fate for Daniel Suarez in Mexico as a local icon eyes first cup win at home

This weekend’s race in Autódromo Hermanos Rodríguez is huge for the local hero Daniel Suarez. Not only because he will race since 1958 in the first point-paid race outside the US, but this is probably his best chance of going to the play-offs. Support for the birth city, supported by a team such as Trackhouse Racing, is his chance to argue for his future on the #99 Chevy. Remember that he is on his contract year and there is a lot of noise around his future within the team after 2025.

Last year he was able to sign an extension after that exciting photo finish in Atlanta, and that was enough to secure his place in the play -offs. But the situation is grim this year. After 15 races in the regular season this year, the Trackhouse Racing driver has drawn empty places and it has been almost 50 races since Suarez has been to Victory Lane. And this race in Mexico could be the key to securing his ride, and the driver knows that. “The Mexico race is something I have hoped for many, many years, and I am not going to have anything else from outside that week and let myself take that moment,” “ Said Suarez.

He is perhaps the favorite because of his Mexican roots, but he is not a ringer off the road. Yes, he has a victory over Sonoma Raceway from 2022, but since then he has not replicated that success. In the next Gen -era he is not ready in the Top 20 spot at Cota, the same can be said for Watkins Glen, apart from the solo -top 5 result he had in 2022. In the meantime, he has not been able to crack the top 10 in the two Chicago Street races. So there is a genuine concern about his ability to deliver the goods, especially in a race where all eyes will be on him.

This conversation was further fed by one Fan comment on Reddit” “Realistically, how good of a shot, does Daniel Suarez have to win in Mexico City?” In a case that Chris Buescher, Shane van Gisbergen, Tyler Reddick and AJ Allmender are looking for their first victory, this question raises a real question about the opportunities of Suarez in Mexico. And while the energy and spirits are high for the 33-year-old, fans on social media were not a sugar jacket when they accepted this discussion.

Fans skeptical about the opportunities of Daniel Suarez to win in Mexico

“I say at least 8 those better shots, Buescher, Elliott, Reddick, Bell, Cindric, Allmender, McDowell, Byron. And perhaps Suarez? But Bowman and Chastain are also contenders on road courses. Many more drivers to win a shot than in the past.” This reaction emphasizes the depth of competition on road courses and invites comparison through concrete seasonal statistics that go beyond what we have treated in the intro. Buescher won at Watkins Glen last year, and Allmendinger held Kaulig Racing in violation of his victories in Roa and Brickyard. Bowman, who is on the hot chair himself, won the Chicago race last year. So there are large hitters who are in a similar situation as Suarez and just as hungry to get the most out of this wildcard event.

One comment reflects the concern of the fans about the consistency of Suarez under pressure and the ruthless character of each technical circuit. “I love Daniel, but his chances cannot be that much better than normal. I would like to be wrong, but he still missed that closing capacity to get in the front and stay in front. If he succeeds in not accelerating on a piece or turning himself, I would say that a top 10 is useful, maybe a top 5.” “ And the data sheet puts this story back and paints a realistic picture about the opportunities of Saurez in Mexico.

Four DNFs, 14 laps led and often entangled in crashed and wrecks, the driver of the #99 car has an average finish of 21,133. While trackhouse racing had a slump themselves, they bounced back with that Ross Chastain victory at the Coca-Cola 600. That P2 ends in Vegas looks like a big result, but that was a happy break in a race that was decided in strategy. Two top 10s except that some big result will not reduce it, and only a victory can help him rise from the 28th position in the classification of the play -offs.

“1 in a million. Guard is at best average current at cup level” and “0.0% with how his season goes.” Suarez has three victories at Autódromo Hermanos Rodríguez, but that was back when he raced in the Mexico Nascar series. Now that he is up against the best racers of the stock car in the world, the bet is higher than ever before. And the uncertainty about his future and the crazy season rumors will only make his work more difficult.

Some fans even predicted that Suarez will be replaced next year by Connor Zilian in the JR Motorsports Chevy. “Oh ok cool, thanks, hopefully he can run well in that equipment, JR Motorsports is just as good as every team that is there, I think. I would really like to see Suarez running, he may even audition for a job in the Xfinity series next season who knows.” Zilian is signed for trackhouse racing, so this is not random theory. Imagine the teenager winning his race, while Suarez ends with a top 10. That could tilt the scales in favor of Zilian.

What do you think of Daniel Suarez and his chances of winning in Mexico City?